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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCity of Boulder Sales & Use Tax Revenue Report, October 2003City of Bouldcr ~ , ~~,~ S~les & Use Ta~ Revenue Report .~~~,:~~ October, 2003 Itisued Decembei 10,2003 ~~ This report providcs mfoi~nation and an~lys~s related to sules and use tax collcchun5 for the fiscaf year 2003 Any quesuon5 should be duected to Tom Hngerty, Deputy Finance Director, at (303) 44I-3001 Wc aie plea5ed to report that tet2il s~t(es tae collecdons showed a 2 36% mcrease over Septembei, 2002 Total sales <tnd use tax colle~nons were fla[ as eompaied wiClt totul oollechons duciag the s~mdt~r t~me penod m 2002 L•'ven tliough it is too endy to couclude identitiable uends, mimmally, the FacC that lotal October year-to-date iesults liave m~proved to a negative 6 33"/o inctcascs stntf contidence that tot11 year collections wdl not bc worse tltan the 8 00°/a ncganve assumed es ~he base for the 2004 Budgct Recogmzmg tl~~t C~ of Boulder leadmg mdtcators do not ueccsaanly ooiTelate with those m Boulder Count , some Ca~tors su~h as consumer wnlidence and m~rcases m disposable mcome ~n tl~e ~uea do impact purchasmg achv~ty witlim Uie Citv Cherciorc, the tollowmg cc.ononuc predicnons by Dr Richard Wobbekind m the Ocm6er 3- I6 Boulclei Coenrtv 6trsrne+s Re~o~t m2y be ut lenst painally prcdiotrve ot trends m C~ revenur After dechnmg Cor rhrec conseouhve quaiters, the quarmity aveiage Cor the Rocky blountam I~dex ol Consumer Coutidene,e ioae aharply m the second yuarter 2003 (L mcre.ised lrom 75 -t m the tiist quarter to 9l 8 m tlte second yuarter Wlule below its post-wFU high, consumer contidence iemnms stable The IIoulder County economy is expected to expeucnce a broad-based ~ec.overy m the flrst ltalf of 2004 This tecovery will cxhib~t signs oT' modest employment gtowth m 2004 Agam, it must be noted lhat general economte improvement will not overcome the basic negahve change m compet¢ive posuion m boih ietAil und~obs But, at some pomt wc espect a naw lower base to aC IeusC stabilize and begm ~o experiencc modest growth From that pomt loiward N[onthly retail sales tax iexilts, wttl~ the excepuon oF Septem6er, have improved graduully over the past 7 months Hopefiilly, ~h~s may stgnat tha[ wc ~tre close to or liave ieached the new lower base m tlte ietatl sales category, wh~ch maI<es up about 82"6 oYsalea and use tax revenue REVENUG COMPARISONS As illustruted m tlw tollowing chait, October 3003 uctual vem-to-dfite sales anQ use tax revemie has decreased Uy 6 38'% ovcr th~ comparable periad m ~002. OCTOBGR YC.~R-TO-DATC COlVIP4RISONS-?003 Vti1t5US 2002 T~Y C~TCGORY °/n CHANGC '%~ ut TOTAL RcrailSalesTex -5?1°~~ 31 71'!~, [3usmess Utie T<ik I 13°4~ I I OS°~, Cunsuucuun U,c Tax -23 S6'% -F 71 "4~ ~(otor Veh~clc Utic fax -~ b3°f~ 3^_2"~, RCIvIndS ~0~ ~~"~n -U09°4~ I Tnuil YTD Oetnber SaletiiUse P.i~ -n.3R'%~ 100 UO'!4~ OCoieatei signi[ic,uice foi identifying trends is the percent eLlan~e month by month lo~ 41e yea~ RCVENUG CATF.GORY JAN FEB N[AR APR MAY dUNG Retu~l Sales Tax -14 63",'0 -0 74'% I 96% -9 9d% -3 93'% -7 61% <'oi~suntet Usc Tax (uicl ~ttoror vehicles) I l 40°/u -3 55° ~, -35 35°/a I 1 99% 53 13"/0 -t ( 82"'n Consnuctiou Usc Tnr -51 19"„ -73 50",5, -SO 93"/0 -4C t7"/o 93 03"/u -d2 85"/0 Total -l3 30°/~ -10 ~2°% -7 64°/a -L3 07°,~~ 0 6?0,% -14?5'%n RGVENUE CATGGORY JULY AUG SGPT OCT NOV DGC Re[atl Salcs T~ix -4 37°/a -1 30°.~~ -7 l5°~0 2 3695~ Consumer Use T~x (mcl motor vehicles) -18 8 L°% 23 07% 41 08"% -L7 2L'o Constiuctton ilse TaY 12 82% 31 45°/n 5 f 08% -3 17% Tota1 -6 32"/n 2 3d° 0 0 02°.0 0 00"/0 • Ret1~1 Sales Tax Year-to-date change ~s at -5 21% m the retad sales tax ca~egory, wlimh ma(ces up appiox~m¢tely 31'% ot sales / usc tax ievenue Tliere aie several geo~raphic arcas in tl~e City whwh are posmve compared to 2002 Tia~spoitahon/Uulities m the only mdustry type showing n positrve yeai-to-date vanancc We~knesses are seen in thc Collow~ng retail ~ategoucs • "Food Stores" decreased by 1 18% • "Catmg Plaoes" decreased by 2 60'% ~ "Apparel Stores" deceased by l5 06% • °Home Furnielvngs" dccreased by 3 71% • "General Retaii" decreased by 4 93% • "Aulon~onve Tiade" decrcased by 7 42"/0 • "Buildmg Matenal-Retail decrensed by 3 31% • "Construct~on Sales Tas" decreased by 13 67"io • "Consumer Elect~omcs" de~reased by 7 26% • "Computer Related Busmess" decreasecl by 36 33% • "All Otlier" de~reased by 2 44°/a A5 with n1l otlier caregories, core consumer retail (appare( stores and ~eneral retail) remams weak Tlie tollowmg chart details tlie "oore ~onsumer retaiP' components CITYWIDE CORE RCT.~IL SALES TAY-OCTOBER YTD 20U3 V~RSUS ZOU2 Cute o 2002 20113 Variunce A arel Stores 1,901,754 1615,34R (15 06'!'0l Home Purnishin ~s 2,151,053 2 071,3a0 ( 3 7l°'0l Gcneral Retail 10.359283 9,84R,371 ( d 93°4~1 Total 14,-412,090 L3,~35,673 (6 OS'SS~) ' Grven delays m redevclopmg Ciossrouds Mall intcicst eaists regardwg pertormanc,e m llie BURA ,~rca The (ollowmg c,hurts piov~de such m[ormauon lor the year CROSSROADS NIALL-OCTOBER YTD 2003 VCRSUS ?U02 Cate ~orV ~0112 20113 Var~nnce Rctad Sales Ttix I 004 ~q4 ~l ) 853 ('8 33';s,l CunsumerUsc Cax 10 LT 7,-t07 (27 I')"„~ Construct~ou Use T.ix 3-4 'S5 nA3 32°4~ T~~~:~i i ui-~~~ii ~2~,sia iza~o~~~,i ~ 13U2.A CYCLUDIYG CROSSROADS Mr~LL - OCTOBER YTD 20113 VEI2SUS 2002 CaCe~m v 2002 :003 Va~~ance Relaii S~tlcs Tax I L,938,bd9 12,091,9t3 L 23"6 ConsumcrUael'ax ^91,627 20t,283 (3098°i~) Cu~sttuolionUscTax 105,067 I46,IG0 39LL% ToWI L,3.i5,3d3 1~,139,365 0 8d'%n TOTAL 13UR~ OCT06CR YTD Z003 VERSUS 2002 C.ite~~or 2002 2003 Varixnce Retail Sales T~x 12,943,053 13.811,77f (1 OI%o) Consumer Use Tax 30I 300 208,b94 (30 35°4,) Coutitrucnon Use T.~x lO5,I01 ld6 aL5 39 31°/n Tuwl 13,3d9,954 L3,L66380 (l37°%,) Vfotor vehmlc use tax hfis decrcnsed by 5 63'% compaied to'_'002 Constrnctio~ uvc tax lias decreased by ^3 36'% B~iSmcss usc tax (tlie complement of B to B retaif 521es tax) h.~s experienced a yefii-to-dare increase of l 13% Tlte total net saleti & use tax decrease ot 6 38% fm the ycar is slightly better than the revised pro~ection of an 3 00% decrease pro~ected m the revised 2005 budget Tl~e tollowmg ~hart demoostintes (net oCconstruction use tax) liow tlte vana~ee tl~rougli October is distxibuted amoug bus~ness rel~ted activiry .~nd local ietail ncirv~ty Tl~e chart sliows that busmess related acrivity compnses 21 d5°% oF the loCal negattve vana~cc wlulc 78 55% of the neganve vanance ~s due to reducl~ons m puroliases by mdiv~duals Category 20U2 2003 Var~unce '%~ ot Total Vrriance (Net of Consrrucrion Use Tu~) Qusmess Usu Tnx ( not $~,J75,)26 '6 6,043,438 $ 67,5 l2 -2 71",% mcludm .tutos) Out-ot State Retail Sales $~,672,li8 ~~,070,060 ($ 602,098) 24 16°,'0 Tax ( approximat~un of busmess s endme) Sub-tot¢16usmess $ 11,648,084 $ Ll,lli,d98 ($ 534,~86) 2145'%~ Relnced Retatl Sales Tax (not $~l,d(6,91 l ~ 39,61d,330 ($ 1,352,~31) 74 33°/n mcWdm~ out-ut-state~ ~[otot VehmLe Use Tax ~ 1,867.U5 i '6 1,761 997 ($ 105,0G01 -i'_'2'% Total S'ules 8c Usc T~tx '6 ~4 )82 052 ~ 52,~189,325 ($ ^_,-492?27) l00 00`% (not mcludmy+ Cunstruc,tton Usc Tnx 3c Rctund5l T(tc Collowtng gi~i}~I~s ilLustraLC hcnds by tar ~ato~oiy over llia thice-ycar peuod. 2001 - 2003 thiough Octobci - -- -- ~- - -- -- - - - - - ----- - - - I SALES & USE TAX TRENDS ~ 50 00% ~ 4O OO% - a 30 00°/a --- ----- - `o_ 20 00% ' - - - -- ---- - ---- --- --- ~ 1000% -- - ------ ---- --- - - ~ ~ ~Q% sm ' S5~ rn -10 00° o -- - ----- - c v 'ZO OO°/a _' _"__`" __ _`__ " ' _~_"__"_` _ '_` ' e -30 00% -- -40 00% ---------- - --- --- -------- -50 00% Year "~'_ 0 v-_ 0 _ I ~ p Retad Sales ~ Tax ~ ~ ~Business Use ~ ~ Tax , ' ^ Construchon , Use Tax ; ~ ^ Motor Vehicie Use Tax ' ^ Total ~ ~ - -- Sales & Use 7ax Collected by Category 1998-2Q03 60, 000, 000 50, 000, 000 40,000,000 30,000,000 20, 000, 000 10, 000, 000 ,I ~ p Retail Sales Tax ~ Busmess Use Tax ^ Construction Use Tax ' I t~ Motor Vehicle Use Tax ' _~ I II 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Saies & Use Tax by Area ~ 10.00% ~~, 0.00% ~ -10.00% `~ ~ -20.00% ~ -30.00% -40 00% ~ ° -50 00% _~ ' - 1-- 03- Year ~ Crossroads ~ Downtown Mall ~ University Hill ^ All Other ^ Total SA~.ES/17S~ TAX BY CATEGORY Construction Use Tax -- 5% ~, Business ~ Use Tax -- 1 1 °/a ~ Retail Sales - Tax 81% YTD RL'T,~(L SALLST~AY STRGNGTHg ~VGAK;JLSSBS • Lmt Downlown up by I b OS"6 Core Rcr,ul C.ucgoucslGenetnl Rctail .~ppmcL • Nouh [~ioudw.iy up bv ~3 B9°% Stores :+c Homu Fu~mshm~sl ctown bv 6 OS96 ~ • Nrnth '_31° Sl Conuncrct.il up by '_ ~ 7"S, 13u~ldtn, M2ten.4ti Retad duwn by 3~ I"~~ ' Umvc~sllv ul Culo~6idu up by 7 GU",o Eumg Plices down by ? 60°/, • Gunb~in cl Conuner~i~il up bv = 92"S~ • Consumcr 8lactromc5 down bv 7 ~b° ~~ UHCID up by I-l9'%~ Compu~ei Rclatcc{ Husmess duwn by 36 B3'%, Pem I S~icet N[aLl down bv 3:9`!~~ Qossioads V(nll down by B 33'% • Puhtm Ulduies down by 7-43'%~ Motor Vehicle Use Tax - % YTD USG TAX STRENGTHS WEAKNESSES App~ucl StoicS is up by 3S3 12"/o Umversuy of Color~do down by 85 d3% UnhcenscQ Recetpls m up by 53 95"/o BURA down by 12 -41°/a Out of Statc is up by l 18 81"/o All Othcr Boulder dowu by l9 10°/n Downtown Brteneion ~s up by 34^ 33",'o PeaiL St~cet N[aLl is down by 78 27% Basemai is up by 737 76% North Broadway down by 30 19'% ~ Boulder [ndi~stnal is up by 13 32% ~ N 23i0 St Commeicial down by 63 6L4% CAGID is up by 6l ~5% Public UCihnes down by 23 95° ~~ Bouldci Couniy is up by 17 54",4> CONIBINtiD SALGS & USE TAY STRBNGTHS W E.4KNESS GS Industry type All Other is up by 5 65% Construcuon Use Tax down by ~8 36% ~ Downtown ( torn~er CAGID) is up by 3 36",6 ~ Genernl Rctatl down 6y 6~8% Transpottuhon/Utilll~es is by 3 31",'u Appnrel Stoies down by 13 33% North Bioadwny Annex m up by 2~4 ~7% Pear! Strcet Mall down by 9 71"/0 Uuhcensed Receipts is up by 25 45% Crossroads V[all down by 23 30'% LJnrvcrs~ty of Colorado down by 54 96°'0 • Publio Ut~litics dow~t by 3 06% OTHER Tr\X~S • Admissions Tax is up by 3 li% • Accommodation Tax is down by 10 40°% BUDGE'T IMPL[CATIONS The 2003 October ve~r-to-date total eales and use tfix collecuoi~s are more mlme w~Ch Che c~irrent -8 00'% foiecasY Cor thc toral year Given current t~ends, we pro~ect that "_'003 s.~les and use tax will end the year very close to or unpiuve on the pro~ected negauve 8 00% torecast 03 (OSTY1 doc OC1013PR?003 SrVLLS ~1ND USG PAX IiLVL~UCS I nlal ~cl S dce/Use 9 ar Rc~cipts bv 1 ar Catc~~orv ~ 2p02 ~ 20113 ( '%~ Clmnne t '%n ot 1 o[n~ Salas lar d7,13J,Ob9 d4,68d,390 -531"~~ SI 71"'n Buvnetiti Ua~ I~t< 5,975 )'!6 6,043,-{38 L 13'% L I 05'%n Consuucnu~~UtieCex 5,620'_d4 2,57~,~73 ~886"6 -V71% Nlotor v~hwl~ 1,567,057 1,7C1.997 -~ 63';0 3""fi Rtlunds -IR5 602 -377,094 103 17"0 -0 69"i~ I otal S.deti anA Usc f ar ~81I6.694 5J.6NN 3J4 -6 38%u 1011 OU°~, OC'F06LR Y'I D Actunt 9 ntal Ve[ Sales/Uyc I'a~ Receipfs 6v Indutitr~ I'vpe Z~~U2 ?003 '%~ Ch:m~e 'f ~t fnC.~t I ood S'toies 7,117,J84 7,311,382 -I d3"5~ 13 37'%n CenngPt.~~cs 6,?3G.9~9 6,SSS,3R9 -300";~ 120~"u Appn~clSlmes I,)II 105 1,6d6,910 -1333"4~ 301"n HoineFumishmes ~,Ih0,ll6 2,079,63J -373",6 380"6 CeneralRetad 10,897,61fi 10,1SQ578 -6~8':6 186'"'fi 9mnspoimnoroUtihuzs ~,8GQ39-4 503I,240 331"fi 91S"'o automotrvc Tiade S,U33,595 4,7I?,113 -( 79"f, R 6°"6 6uddmg ~Inten~d-Romil 1,-1R2,767 1,431,033 -3 ~19",fi 2 E3';~~ Comtmctmn Use f,~c 3,643 B?6 3,~173,~3X -32 L"~ 4~7",h Cunstruct~unSaletil,~x 251,G9h ?17=93 -1367"5~ 0-1~"L ConsumerLleo[rom~s IJ59,7(G I,Uni,6~6 .3'9"~u I I4"4~ COOI~LLCC1 2C~d[tl~ ~p410BJ5 S`LL[OL '~~~~~fJ,~~~) ~~~~R~ ~~ '~5 H3~i~0 S ~H~i~O AIl OChet 3~$90,-18? 9,U76,'-71 5 65"'n 16 60"6 Rctunds -185 60~ -377 09-F 103 17"fi -0 69"Si Pntai NeY Salec/Use f ic Rece~p[s bv CenGr.~pluc Ai ca ~ 20U2 ~ 20113 ~ "~u ClionGe f "'n ul 9 nlal ...~ Nortlt I3rondwny ~d7,~13.i 502,90h S 25"4~ I-F7"o Uown[own(tonnciC~GiD) -1.008,"?11 -F.143,073 336"fi 758"S~ Uowntown C<tension 391,197 364,357 -6 36"0 0 67'%6 UHGIC the °hdl") 79l ~5~) 796,1fi1 / 0~87o I 4fi% ~..tti[ D~ , ntown 433,9~~0 618.049 37 71l"/o I 13"6 N ~BtliJt lommercial 3,G97,768 7,690,SSI -019"~0 6'S"~ N L3roadw.ryAnncx 1?I,IU7 150,73; ^_447% 0'-'B"~~ Unrvets~ryutColorntlo 1,7y8,7C5 910,IU9 -S~t96",~ I ~1R"S~ f3ascm¢i I,U17,701 1,034,308 173"4, I 3)"0 DURA (wlu ~ids) I?,735,3d3 I_.~39,3n5 U 84"u 9~ 7~"S~ Ciosstoddv 1,014,611 7?7,514 -?3 30"'~ 1 73"~~ Pa61e Mesa I,-F2S,31~1 I,d?S,1h0 -033i5~ ? bl"6 Che Meaduws fl77,11o SOI,ORB 4 b7"f~ I~1G"f~ ,AIlOtherl3ouldcr 3,IN9,4UR 3.77a.6ifi -I~1'_6'16 ~00^„ 6ouldcrCountv 709.5;') 692.607 -? l9",f, I 2;"s, ,~l~truDcnvcr =.~94,b1? I,'~66,196 -,~1"'~",0 3GU~~S ColoiadoNlOthcr 1~0~70 10~1,94-1 -1608"4, OI'3°6 Out ol Sl~ue 5.315 U17 5,382 G:( -7 ~J"6 9 H'~°~~ ,aupou ?7.JlR 87'~l -G9,q~~~ 00,~~4, t,unbancllndusni,d '_,Bdl,~il 3,1"5-191 -?3-V~"L~ 19A",a~ ilun6a~rel ('ummei~ml 6A6 l~>5 5ES5,=7S -0 U9~~i~ I ~S i~ Pearl Sheet M,ill I 861 ftd3 I,I~SL U?5 `7'I"o i U7"G 13oulderlnJu~uial ~;l?^_,;Ili h.t410dd 369"6 II'7",~ 1lnhwnted R~wip[s J31 S97 -lIG 302 ,5 „l,~n U 76';2~ ~ auntv Uak I Sh7,057 1 761 `)'17 -_ 63"S~ ~ i00~~ PublwUtdm~ti 3,tl'_^_IN2 3~Id'71 -SUG':i~ 613"~0 ~.clundti -Ift5,G02 177094 IDl 17"2, -Oh9°6 1 ne.il S.tleti md f itie I a~ 58 ~llfi 69~1 iJ 68R ?1J -v 3N"6 I On nU°~~ ~Incellane nn I ax Slunstiw i- 20112 OCCOBLRI'ID ~cninl ?0113 "G~ ("h~mKe ~OW~~OUt~SbfAIbb~dA i~i~Ji] ~~l)')~~ =•)~~u HUIt.4 Aic,ilundS~ivwcla~ "1181; h9907 -~=`~"~i \~~ommodauonti lax ' L'9'37 i ~~ON35fi -I~IdO"6 \~unitivom I a~ ;~2 0 7' '^_u nGll '_ I 1"S, i_~~~~,~~ i ~~, ~^_ ~ou _~ ~nn n s;^~~ ~,,.i, ~.. ;v ~;i -,-soo _ ,~~ i_t ClT 54Lt5AN~lISETA% ..I~ SAI t5 iAX _ u ~ 1i ~i~~ ID95 1990 15]] 19Jd li9b zcca =W1 LVJ2 2GJ3 ; c~(HaLl) e _i_ _ ~ 1:StIHERI15EiAX 1~J~J5 - ~ 3 I i ~ 19SC ~ - - - 153] ~ ~.t~ _ ~ 193d ~ _~ 1999 ' eOuJ + tl V 2003 _ ~ {nor, a ~11 i W) ___" ~ Fr s_rl~iC~ J ~ FEB I a~ I /PR I bAr I JUN I ~UL I AUG I SEP I OGT ~ NOV ( DEG I T~1AL I%.CHG 311?5]0' 31iB101 J?~1918 3233BJ] 3393302 _ 433]5~9 3228000 3I15299~ 4419000 3588588 35509]9 52fi9~3i 4522]153~ 068°; f ~ -__ _ 3ob7DuJ 3o3J5A? 4fi30]2J' 35EOJ03 3836~fi1~ i]fi6288 3900040~ 4133503 5263630 40211~0 3blib'_j 60Rfififi' S168o0t3 Su9°, 4u21 i~~b 3JJlti49 15i9G92 310~950 4029J25~ 641133A 4211969 <360090 52A8oB]' 4052625~_42J9qB] 6502389~_ 531d~93~' 403°~ 9Si5i4J 4i+?135 5~553._ 428185] 451i65Ji S~B01V~ 4346353i »0'1185 561G609 40A8]99~ 492fiB35~_6]OJ39i~ 5]899~oai 2]3°. 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