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06.12.13 tax ballot measure memo attch CITY OF BOULDER OPEN SPACE BOARD OF TRUSTEES AGENDA ITEM MEETING DATE: June 12, 2013 AGENDA TITLE Consideration of a recommendation to City Council for Open Space and Mountain Parks funding. PRESENTER/S Michael D. Patton, Director, Open Space and Mountain Parks Michael Orosel, Financial Services Manager EXECUTIVE SUMMARY On April 23, 2013 during a study session to consider potential 2013 ballot items, City Council members discussed the prospect of extending the current 0.33 percent sales tax which is scheduled to sunset at the end of 2018. The discussion came about as a part of a question regarding OSMP) ability to bond for the purchase of property identified in the recently-approved Acquisition Plan. OSMP currently has two sales taxes - 0.33 percent and 0.15 percent that sunset at the end of 2018 and 2019 respectively. These two sunsetting taxes represent 55 percent of OSMP total annual sales tax revenue. City Council will take up the issue of potential 2013 ballot measures again on June 18, 2013 and the possibility of extending one of the current Open Space sales taxes will be discussed. It is also possible that council will consider some alternative to either of the existing taxes. As a rule, the City Council solicits and values input from the Open Space Board of Trustees (OSBT). It would be appropriate for the OSBT to consider making a recommendation to City Council regarding the prospect for an additional sales tax measure for voter consideration at the November 2013 municipal election. Agenda Item 7 Page 1 STAFF RECOMMENDATION Staff requests the Open Space Board of Trustees consider making a recommendation to City Council regarding the possibility of extending either the 0.33 percent or the 0.15 percent sales taxes which are scheduled to sunset in 2018 and 2019 respectively. The Board could also determine that a different level of funding is appropriate. The purpose of the additional revenue would be to complete the Vision Plan for land purchase as described in the council-approved 2013-2019 Acquisition Plan Update. COMMUNITY SUSTAINABILITY ASSESSMENTS AND IMPACTS Environmental: Open Space and Mountain Parks is a significant community- based program that preserves open space land contributing to the environmental sustainability goal of the City Council. Economic: The Open Space and Mountain Parks program contributes to cou the diverse and vibrant economic system that supports services for residents. The land system and the quality of life it represents attract visitors and help businesses to recruit and retain quality employees. Social: The Open Space land system is accessible to all members of the aspect of their community. OTHER IMPACTS Fiscal: All new funding would come from any potential sales tax. Staff Time: Only minimal staff time would be required to assist the City Attorney should a sales tax be placed on the ballot. PUBLIC COMMENT AND PROCESS This item is being heard at this public meeting, advertised in the Daily Camera on June 9, 2013. ANALYSIS The Open Space and Mountain Parks Department currently has three dedicated sales taxes that account for more that 92 percent of its total funding: 1.A 0.4 percent sales tax that was approved as a perpetual or permanent tax. 2.A 0.33 percent sales tax that was approved through 2018 after which it will expire. 3.A 0.15 percent sales tax that was approved through 2019 after which it will expire. At the end of 2019 when both the 0.33 percent and 0.15 percent sales taxes have expired, the OSMP Department will lose 55 percent of its current sales tax funding base. After this time, only the 0.4 percent sales tax will be available to support ongoing management of Agenda Item 7 Page 2 the 45,000 acres of Open Space and Mountain Parks land. It has been a general expectation that given the need for ongoing management, after both taxes sunset, the acquisition of additional land would end or be very limited. The recently-passed 2013-2019 Update to the Acquisition Plan identifies three levels of funding strategies for purchasing land. What strategy selected for completion informs the level of funding required for future acquisitions. The recently-approved funding strategies include: 1.Fiscally Constrained Plan, 2.Action Plan and 3.Vision Plan. Fiscally Constrained Plan The Fiscally Constrained Plan is a simple approach that identifies acquisition targets and a Capital Improvement Program (CIP) level that can be accomplished based on current Finance Department revenue projections. It is expected that a total of 1,190 acres could be purchased prior to the sunsetting of the 0.33 percent and 0.15 percent sales taxes. Since it is based only on expected revenues, the Fiscally Constrained Plan could be accomplished without an extension of one of the current sales taxes set to expire in 2018 and 2019, presuming all revenue projections and anticipated expenditures are correct. Action Plan The main feature of the Action Plan is the use of the existing fund balance to increase the Acquisition CIP from $3.4 million to $5.4 million for the duration of the plan. This increase would produce a total of $35.8 million in acquisition capital. It presumes that projections for revenues and expenditures are correct. At an estimated cost of $20,000 per acre, this funding would allow for the purchase of approximately 1,790 acres over seven years or 255 acres per year. After the 0.33 percent sales tax sunsets at the end of 2018, additional funds will be allocated from the fund balance to retain the $5.4 million level for the last year of the Plan. Additionally, beginning in 2015, $100,000 could be added to the operating budget for ongoing expenses. Vision Plan This most ambitious of the three funding alternatives calls for the long-term purchase of approximately 8,700 acres of land identified by the Acquisition Plan at a cost of over $90 million. Property targeted by the Vision Plan is the result of years of decision making by staff, the Board and by City Council. The Vision Plan cannot be accomplished without an increased funding source beyond the sunset of the 0.33 percent and 0.15 percent sales taxes in 2018 and 2019. Alternative Modeling Fund Financials Staff has developed fund financials modeling three different funding alternatives. In all cases staff used Finance Department sales tax increase projections as a base. These projections use a general three percent increase in sales tax revenues over the years. Staff Agenda Item 7 Page 3 changed the model slightly to acknowledge the possibility of periodic downturns in the national and local economy. As a point of reference, during the last decade (2000 2010) OSMP sales tax revenue fell 17 percent from 2000 to 2004 and then was essentially flat during 2008 and 2009. To provide for the prospect of a slight downturn, staff has included three years of flat sales tax projections or no change in sales tax revenues for three years in each of the models years 2015, 2016 and 2017. Staff has modeled three scenarios: first, neither the 0.33 percent nor the 0.15 percent is continued after sunsetting (Attachment A); second, continuation of the 0.33 percent for through 2030 (Attachment B) and third, continuation of the 0.15 percent through 2030 (Attachment C). In each model, the current general fund transfer is eliminated at the end of 2019 and the fund balance is spent down by 50 percent. In the two models, continuing the 0.15 percent and 0.33 percent sales tax, the acquisition CIP is maintained at the $3.4 million level. In the model with neither sales tax extended, the Acquisition CIP is eliminated. While these are the only tools staff has available for such projections, it is important to keep in mind the warning from the consultant advising the first Blue Ribbon Commission (BRC): any projections beyond a few years are almost certainly wrong. None of the spread sheets include a bonding prospect. However, in a similar review of OSMP funding, the Finance Director as concluded that by extending either sales tax bonding would be an acquisition funding option. Attachment A shows the result of neither the 0.15 percent nor 0.33 percent sales tax being extended with the other presumptions described above. Under this scenario beginning in 2020 no further funds are allocated for the acquisition of land, water or minerals. Even with these modifications, the Open Space fund begins to go negative in 2024 and by 2030 has a deficit of more than $25,000,000. Attachment B shows the result of the 0.33 percent tax being extended to 2030 but 0.15 percent being discontinued. Under this scenario, a $3.5 million land acquisition CIP can be maintained; an additional $300,000 can also be allocated for the purchase of water and mineral rights. By the end of 2030, tjust over $100 million. The strength of this scenario would allow a considerably more significant CIP for the pursuit and acquisition of mineral rights or mineral leases. Attachment C shows the result of the 0.15 percent being extended but the 0.33 percent being discontinued. Under this scenario, a $3.5 million land acquisition CIP can be maintained; an additional $300,000 can also be allocated for the purchase of water and mineral rights. By 2030 there is a Fund Balance After Reserves of just under $8 million. Presuming all revenue and expenditure projections are met, extension of either the 0.33 percent or the 0.15 percent taxes could allow completion of the Vision Plan described in the 2013-2019 Acquisition Plan. Agenda Item 7 Page 4